Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Modano wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Modano 48.9% vs Kesler 57.0% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Modano 75.6%
Defensive zone
Modano 77.0%
Neutral zone
Modano 76.9%
Result
Mike Modano favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Modano
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Modano
Kesler
Last 6: Modano 1-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Modano
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Modano
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Modano
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Modano
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (266)
57.3% (1,022)
-9.6%
Power Play
100.0% (5)
61.5% (200)
+38.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
54.9% (257)
-54.9%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +54.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Modano is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Modano shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Home / Away
Modano
Kesler
Home
51.1% (139)
58.6% (766)
Away
45.9% (135)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Modano
Kesler
P1
52.6%
58.9%
P2
42.3%
56.8%
P3
51.9%
57.5%
OT
0.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
42.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Modano
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2011 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Mike Modano |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |