Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Modano 48.9% vs Koivu 51.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Modano 51.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 84.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 64.3%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Modano
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Modano
Koivu
Last 5: Modano 4-1 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Modano
2
0
Modano
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Modano
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Modano
2
0
Modano
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Modano
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (266)
51.9% (3,221)
-4.2%
Power Play
100.0% (5)
59.3% (437)
+40.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
48.0% (764)
-48.0%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +48.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Modano is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Modano shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Modano
Koivu
Home
51.1% (139)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
45.9% (135)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Modano
Koivu
P1
52.6%
51.1%
P2
42.3%
52.6%
P3
51.9%
51.8%
OT
0.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
42.2%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Modano
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Mike Modano |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Mike Modano |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 05:20 | Neutral | Mike Modano |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 08:17 | Offensive | Mike Modano |