Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.0%). Look for Marchant on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Modano 48.9% vs Marchant 48.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Modano leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Modano 71.5%
Defensive zone
Marchant 73.7%
Neutral zone
Modano 52.9%
Result
Todd Marchant favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Modano
Marchant
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Modano
Marchant
Last 10: Modano 5-5 Marchant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Modano
2
0
Modano
Marchant
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marchant
1
3
Modano
Marchant
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Modano
3
2
Modano
Marchant
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Modano
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (266)
50.5% (368)
-2.8%
Power Play
100.0% (5)
28.6% (7)
+71.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
42.4% (158)
-42.4%
On power play, Modano has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. Modano is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Modano shoots left. Marchant is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Modano
Marchant
Home
51.1% (139)
50.3% (302)
Away
45.9% (135)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Modano
Marchant
P1
52.6%
46.3%
P2
42.3%
49.7%
P3
51.9%
48.1%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
42.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Modano
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2011 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Todd Marchant |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 2 | 11:10 | Neutral | Todd Marchant |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Mike Modano |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 1 | 11:02 | Neutral | Mike Modano |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Mike Modano |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 17:44 | Defensive | Mike Modano |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 05:23 | Neutral | Mike Modano |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 05:11 | Neutral | Mike Modano |