Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 46.7% vs Ribeiro 39.3% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 50.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 97.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 85.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Lowry
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Lowry
Ribeiro
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
2
Lowry
Ribeiro
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Ribeiro
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
1
Lowry
Ribeiro
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (666)
37.8% (650)
+8.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
38.9% (108)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (172)
0.0% (2)
+44.8%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Lowry is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Lowry shoots left. Ribeiro is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Lowry
Ribeiro
Home
49.9% (393)
37.9% (417)
Away
43.1% (452)
37.9% (343)
By Period
Lowry
Ribeiro
P1
45.1%
38.3%
P2
44.8%
38.8%
P3
49.1%
36.4%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
33.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
46.3%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 11:53 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |