Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.6%). Look for Ribeiro on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.1% vs Ribeiro 46.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 61.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 52.8%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 57.6%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
O'Reilly
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
O'Reilly
Ribeiro
Last 6: O'Reilly 1-5 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
O'Reilly
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
2
O'Reilly
Ribeiro
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
2
O'Reilly
Ribeiro
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (403)
46.9% (823)
-0.7%
Power Play
48.1% (79)
49.0% (306)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
36.5% (74)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. O'Reilly is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
O'Reilly shoots left. Ribeiro is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Ribeiro
Home
48.1% (243)
46.3% (620)
Away
44.9% (254)
46.9% (593)
By Period
O'Reilly
Ribeiro
P1
43.2%
48.5%
P2
45.6%
46.5%
P3
50.9%
43.6%
OT
42.9%
58.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
46.5%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 13:47 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |