Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 46.8% vs Ribeiro 42.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 85.0%
Defensive zone
Paquette 80.7%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 50.5%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Paquette
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Paquette
Ribeiro
Last 6: Paquette 3-3 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
Paquette
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Ribeiro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
2
Paquette
Ribeiro
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (347)
41.1% (375)
+7.9%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
41.8% (67)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (80)
50.0% (2)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Ribeiro has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Paquette is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Paquette shoots left. Ribeiro is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Paquette
Ribeiro
Home
42.3% (182)
38.7% (230)
Away
48.8% (252)
43.9% (214)
By Period
Paquette
Ribeiro
P1
51.3%
41.6%
P2
46.1%
45.5%
P3
40.3%
36.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.1%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |