Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 51-31 in 82 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 80.2%
Defensive zone
Backes 99.0%
Neutral zone
Backes 94.6%
Result
David Backes favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Backes
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
51
-
31
(82 meetings)
51
31
Backes
Ribeiro
Last 10: Backes 8-2 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
8
19
Backes
Ribeiro
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
18
2
Backes
Ribeiro
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
25
10
Backes
Ribeiro
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
42.9% (4,887)
+8.2%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
45.6% (930)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
33.3% (147)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Home / Away
Backes
Ribeiro
Home
50.6% (3,936)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Backes
Ribeiro
P1
50.1%
42.6%
P2
51.5%
44.3%
P3
50.8%
41.8%
OT
42.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 11:31 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 16:20 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 29, 2015 | OT | 04:39 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 29, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | David Backes |