Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Ribeiro 45.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 61.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 54.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 54.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Stepan
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Stepan
Ribeiro
Last 8: Stepan 5-3 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Stepan
Ribeiro
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Ribeiro
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
45.0% (473)
+3.0%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
47.8% (23)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
22.2% (9)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Stepan shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Stepan
Ribeiro
Home
47.4% (460)
48.9% (268)
Away
44.5% (517)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Stepan
Ribeiro
P1
50.3%
42.5%
P2
38.4%
44.8%
P3
49.4%
46.5%
OT
27.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 08:40 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |