Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.2% vs Ribeiro 42.8% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 52.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 87.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 74.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Stepan
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stepan
Ribeiro
Last 7: Stepan 5-2 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Ribeiro
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
1
Stepan
Ribeiro
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (1,155)
41.1% (375)
+7.1%
Power Play
48.2% (193)
41.8% (67)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (174)
50.0% (2)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Ribeiro has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Stepan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,064).
Stepan shoots right. Ribeiro is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
Stepan
Ribeiro
Home
46.4% (774)
38.7% (230)
Away
47.7% (748)
43.9% (214)
By Period
Stepan
Ribeiro
P1
46.7%
41.6%
P2
46.3%
45.5%
P3
48.1%
36.9%
OT
47.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |