Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.8% vs Ribeiro 43.6% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 71.4%
Defensive zone
Brassard 92.7%
Neutral zone
Brassard 81.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Brassard
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Brassard
Ribeiro
Last 7: Brassard 6-1 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
Brassard
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
4
0
Brassard
Ribeiro
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
Ribeiro
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,162)
42.7% (1,121)
+5.8%
Power Play
49.7% (181)
46.2% (221)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
16.7% (6)
+34.8%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +34.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Brassard is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Brassard shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Brassard
Ribeiro
Home
51.7% (689)
44.9% (710)
Away
45.9% (687)
41.2% (638)
By Period
Brassard
Ribeiro
P1
48.1%
43.8%
P2
51.8%
44.6%
P3
45.9%
40.3%
OT
52.2%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2015 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 2, 2015 | 1 | 00:34 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |