Scouting Report
Jarome Iginla holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 53.3% vs Ribeiro 46.8% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 69.7%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 77.7%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 68.9%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 76.1%
23.9%
76.1%
Iginla
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Iginla
Ribeiro
Last 5: Iginla 1-4 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
Iginla
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
3
Iginla
Ribeiro
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (259)
46.9% (823)
+7.5%
Power Play
55.1% (147)
49.0% (306)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
36.5% (74)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Ribeiro has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Iginla is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (332).
Iginla shoots right. Ribeiro is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Iginla
Ribeiro
Home
61.1% (203)
46.3% (620)
Away
47.5% (217)
46.9% (593)
By Period
Iginla
Ribeiro
P1
57.6%
48.5%
P2
50.4%
46.5%
P3
56.2%
43.6%
OT
31.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 10:55 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 23, 2010 | OT | 03:25 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 23, 2010 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |