Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.4% vs Ribeiro 43.6% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 75.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 97.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 93.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 95.7%
95.7%
4.3%
Carter
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Carter
Ribeiro
Last 8: Carter 7-1 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
4
1
Carter
Ribeiro
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Ribeiro
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (934)
42.7% (1,121)
+8.8%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
46.2% (221)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (95)
16.7% (6)
+35.9%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Carter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (810).
Carter shoots right. Ribeiro is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Carter
Ribeiro
Home
55.1% (554)
44.9% (710)
Away
50.4% (639)
41.2% (638)
By Period
Carter
Ribeiro
P1
50.8%
43.8%
P2
52.1%
44.6%
P3
54.8%
40.3%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
51.7%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 02:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:46 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |