Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Smithson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.8% vs Ribeiro 46.8% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Ribeiro leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 91.1%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 55.2%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 82.8%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 83.5%
16.5%
83.5%
Smithson
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Smithson
Ribeiro
Last 10: Smithson 3-7 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
7
Smithson
Ribeiro
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Ribeiro
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Smithson
Ribeiro
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (778)
46.9% (823)
+12.9%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
49.0% (306)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (198)
36.5% (74)
+12.5%
On even strength, Smithson has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Smithson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Smithson shoots right. Ribeiro is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Smithson
Ribeiro
Home
59.2% (534)
46.3% (620)
Away
55.5% (472)
46.9% (593)
By Period
Smithson
Ribeiro
P1
56.1%
48.5%
P2
58.0%
46.5%
P3
58.6%
43.6%
OT
37.5%
58.3%
Final 5 min
58.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.5%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 16:22 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 02:55 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |