Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Backlund wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 47.7% vs Ribeiro 44.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 58.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 93.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 76.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Backlund
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Backlund
Ribeiro
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Ribeiro
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
2
Backlund
Ribeiro
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
5
2
Backlund
Ribeiro
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (1,002)
43.1% (821)
+4.1%
Power Play
46.7% (150)
48.1% (77)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (170)
0.0% (5)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Backlund is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Backlund shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Backlund
Ribeiro
Home
48.3% (633)
45.2% (504)
Away
46.7% (689)
40.9% (399)
By Period
Backlund
Ribeiro
P1
49.2%
42.7%
P2
48.9%
45.3%
P3
45.4%
43.0%
OT
33.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 2 | 10:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 4, 2013 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 4, 2013 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 4, 2013 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 06:59 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |