Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 37.3% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 44.0% vs Santorelli 51.1% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 81.1%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 62.8%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 60.0%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Ribeiro
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Ribeiro
Santorelli
Last 9: Ribeiro 3-6 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ribeiro
Santorelli
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
3
Ribeiro
Santorelli
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ribeiro
Santorelli
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (821)
50.5% (333)
-7.4%
Power Play
48.1% (77)
55.4% (56)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (5)
53.3% (30)
-53.3%
On penalty kill, Santorelli has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Ribeiro is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Ribeiro shoots left. Santorelli is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Santorelli
Home
45.2% (504)
54.2% (179)
Away
40.9% (399)
49.2% (240)
By Period
Ribeiro
Santorelli
P1
42.7%
49.6%
P2
45.3%
51.8%
P3
43.0%
52.7%
OT
20.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.3%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |