Mike Ribeiro vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ribeiro wins 39.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 87.0%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 83.0%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 73.0%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Ribeiro
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Ribeiro
MacKinnon
Last 10: Ribeiro 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
4
Ribeiro
MacKinnon
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
4
Ribeiro
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
4
Ribeiro
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
46.1% (11,218)
-3.2%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
53.3% (1,412)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
42.8% (502)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Ribeiro shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
MacKinnon
Home
44.1% (3,144)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Ribeiro
MacKinnon
P1
42.6%
47.4%
P2
44.3%
46.6%
P3
41.8%
46.1%
OT
49.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
41.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2013 | OT | 02:24 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |