Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.3% vs 42.9%). Ribeiro wins 37.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 44.0% vs MacKinnon 44.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 63.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 55.1%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 51.5%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Ribeiro
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Ribeiro
MacKinnon
Last 5: Ribeiro 0-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Ribeiro
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Ribeiro
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Ribeiro
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (821)
42.0% (407)
+1.1%
Power Play
48.1% (77)
51.2% (43)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (5)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Ribeiro is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Ribeiro shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
MacKinnon
Home
45.2% (504)
42.1% (202)
Away
40.9% (399)
43.6% (250)
By Period
Ribeiro
MacKinnon
P1
42.7%
43.3%
P2
45.3%
41.5%
P3
43.0%
44.2%
OT
20.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
44.4%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2013 | OT | 02:24 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |