Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 39.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Dowd 50.7% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 77.7%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 58.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 73.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Ribeiro
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ribeiro
Dowd
Last 5: Ribeiro 3-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Ribeiro
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
0
Ribeiro
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
1
Ribeiro
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
52.4% (6,009)
-9.5%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
56.1% (164)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
44.1% (1,635)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Ribeiro shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Dowd
Home
44.1% (3,144)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Ribeiro
Dowd
P1
42.6%
51.7%
P2
44.3%
50.4%
P3
41.8%
50.3%
OT
49.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
41.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |