Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 42.8% vs Dowd 48.1% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 52.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 73.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 66.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Ribeiro
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ribeiro
Dowd
Last 5: Ribeiro 3-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Ribeiro
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
0
Ribeiro
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
1
Ribeiro
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (375)
47.2% (608)
-6.1%
Power Play
41.8% (67)
53.1% (96)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (3)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Ribeiro has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Ribeiro is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Ribeiro shoots left. Dowd is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Dowd
Home
38.7% (230)
48.7% (384)
Away
43.9% (214)
46.7% (323)
By Period
Ribeiro
Dowd
P1
41.6%
50.2%
P2
45.5%
47.5%
P3
36.9%
46.2%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
41.2%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2016 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |