Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.1% vs 42.3%). Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 39.0% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 57.9%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 71.8%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 51.9%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Ribeiro
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Ribeiro
Schmaltz
Last 6: Ribeiro 4-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
1
Ribeiro
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
1
Ribeiro
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
41.2% (3,399)
+1.7%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
47.1% (649)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
47.8% (134)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Ribeiro shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Schmaltz
Home
44.1% (3,144)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Ribeiro
Schmaltz
P1
42.6%
41.1%
P2
44.3%
42.9%
P3
41.8%
43.0%
OT
49.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
41.6%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 10:19 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |