Scouting Report
Mike Ribeiro holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 42.8% vs Schmaltz 36.0% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 78.0%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 56.6%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 74.0%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Ribeiro
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Ribeiro
Schmaltz
Last 6: Ribeiro 4-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
1
Ribeiro
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
1
Ribeiro
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (375)
29.6% (253)
+11.5%
Power Play
41.8% (67)
50.0% (18)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Ribeiro has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Ribeiro is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Ribeiro shoots left. Schmaltz is 28.4% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Schmaltz
Home
38.7% (230)
33.1% (139)
Away
43.9% (214)
28.6% (133)
By Period
Ribeiro
Schmaltz
P1
41.6%
28.8%
P2
45.5%
31.7%
P3
36.9%
31.6%
Final 5 min
37.2%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
41.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
30.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 10:19 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |