Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 46.8% vs Spaling 50.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 58.6%
Defensive zone
Spaling 90.5%
Neutral zone
Spaling 72.1%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Ribeiro
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Ribeiro
Spaling
Last 6: Ribeiro 4-2 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
0
Ribeiro
Spaling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
1
Ribeiro
Spaling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
1
Ribeiro
Spaling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (823)
51.6% (353)
-4.7%
Power Play
49.0% (306)
50.0% (8)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (74)
49.3% (136)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Ribeiro is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ribeiro shoots left. Spaling is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Spaling
Home
46.3% (620)
49.2% (260)
Away
46.9% (593)
52.7% (237)
By Period
Ribeiro
Spaling
P1
48.5%
55.2%
P2
46.5%
49.7%
P3
43.6%
47.7%
OT
58.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
46.6%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 18:10 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |