Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Ribeiro wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 39.3% vs Spaling 51.2% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 53.4%
Defensive zone
Spaling 97.8%
Neutral zone
Spaling 90.5%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 79.9%
20.1%
79.9%
Ribeiro
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Ribeiro
Spaling
Last 7: Ribeiro 5-2 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
0
Ribeiro
Spaling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
3
2
Ribeiro
Spaling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
37.8% (650)
52.5% (461)
-14.7%
Power Play
38.9% (108)
66.7% (9)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
46.6% (131)
-46.6%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +46.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Ribeiro is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Ribeiro shoots left. Spaling is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Spaling
Home
37.9% (417)
57.2% (297)
Away
37.9% (343)
45.7% (304)
By Period
Ribeiro
Spaling
P1
38.3%
54.2%
P2
38.8%
46.6%
P3
36.4%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
33.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.9%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2016 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 12, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |