Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 46.8% vs Bergeron 56.2% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 54.4%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 92.7%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 80.7%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Ribeiro
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Ribeiro
Bergeron
Last 6: Ribeiro 4-2 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ribeiro
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Ribeiro
Bergeron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
3
0
Ribeiro
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (823)
57.3% (1,041)
-10.4%
Power Play
49.0% (306)
60.4% (149)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (74)
51.3% (234)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Ribeiro is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (353).
Ribeiro shoots left. Bergeron is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Bergeron
Home
46.3% (620)
59.8% (682)
Away
46.9% (593)
53.8% (757)
By Period
Ribeiro
Bergeron
P1
48.5%
58.2%
P2
46.5%
58.1%
P3
43.6%
54.5%
OT
58.3%
42.1%
Final 5 min
46.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
46.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2011 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |