Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 39.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 45.6% vs Bergeron 60.9% (-17.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 80.0%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 70.9%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 78.3%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Ribeiro
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Ribeiro
Bergeron
Last 7: Ribeiro 2-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Ribeiro
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Ribeiro
Bergeron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Ribeiro
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (473)
62.6% (660)
-17.6%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
59.8% (97)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
61.4% (127)
-39.2%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +39.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Ribeiro shoots left. Bergeron is 64.6% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Bergeron
Home
48.9% (268)
67.0% (443)
Away
40.1% (237)
57.1% (441)
By Period
Ribeiro
Bergeron
P1
42.5%
63.7%
P2
44.8%
60.0%
P3
46.5%
63.2%
OT
60.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
36.5%
66.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
44.8%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |