Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ribeiro wins 37.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 44.0% vs Bergeron 58.1% (-15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 94.9%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 82.1%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 92.4%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Ribeiro
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Ribeiro
Bergeron
Last 6: Ribeiro 0-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Ribeiro
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
4
Ribeiro
Bergeron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Ribeiro
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (821)
59.4% (1,274)
-16.3%
Power Play
48.1% (77)
57.5% (193)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (5)
55.5% (265)
-55.5%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +55.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Ribeiro is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Ribeiro shoots left. Bergeron is 59.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,119).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Bergeron
Home
45.2% (504)
61.9% (837)
Away
40.9% (399)
55.5% (895)
By Period
Ribeiro
Bergeron
P1
42.7%
60.1%
P2
45.3%
59.2%
P3
43.0%
56.6%
OT
20.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.3%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |