Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ribeiro wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.6% vs Berglund 49.0% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 63.5%
Defensive zone
Berglund 91.2%
Neutral zone
Berglund 84.0%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 85.6%
14.4%
85.6%
Ribeiro
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ribeiro
Berglund
Last 5: Ribeiro 4-1 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
0
Ribeiro
Berglund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
3
1
Ribeiro
Berglund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (1,121)
48.5% (301)
-5.8%
Power Play
46.2% (221)
50.0% (14)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
50.0% (14)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Ribeiro shoots left. Berglund is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Berglund
Home
44.9% (710)
53.3% (180)
Away
41.2% (638)
43.0% (149)
By Period
Ribeiro
Berglund
P1
43.8%
52.3%
P2
44.6%
46.8%
P3
40.3%
46.7%
OT
52.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.2%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |