Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 42.8% vs Berglund 50.0% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 55.3%
Defensive zone
Berglund 95.6%
Neutral zone
Berglund 87.9%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 76.1%
23.9%
76.1%
Ribeiro
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Ribeiro
Berglund
Last 7: Ribeiro 5-2 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
3
0
Ribeiro
Berglund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
2
Ribeiro
Berglund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
0
Ribeiro
Berglund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (375)
50.5% (982)
-9.4%
Power Play
41.8% (67)
55.7% (79)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
40.7% (108)
+9.3%
On power play, Berglund has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Ribeiro is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Ribeiro shoots left. Berglund is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Berglund
Home
38.7% (230)
50.7% (548)
Away
43.9% (214)
49.3% (621)
By Period
Ribeiro
Berglund
P1
41.6%
49.6%
P2
45.5%
50.5%
P3
36.9%
49.6%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
37.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
41.2%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |