Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.1% vs 42.5%). Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Ribeiro wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Elias 42.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Elias leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 65.8%
Defensive zone
Elias 68.5%
Neutral zone
Elias 53.5%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Ribeiro
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Ribeiro
Elias
Last 10: Ribeiro 5-5 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
2
4
Ribeiro
Elias
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
3
5
Ribeiro
Elias
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
3
2
Ribeiro
Elias
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
42.3% (2,591)
+0.6%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
48.4% (405)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
36.0% (367)
-2.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Ribeiro shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Elias
Home
44.1% (3,144)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Ribeiro
Elias
P1
42.6%
41.1%
P2
44.3%
43.1%
P3
41.8%
43.0%
OT
49.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
41.6%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 12:00 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |