Scouting Report
Patrik Elias holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Ribeiro wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.1% vs Elias 44.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Elias leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 63.5%
Defensive zone
Elias 51.3%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 58.0%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Ribeiro
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Ribeiro
Elias
Last 10: Ribeiro 3-7 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
4
Ribeiro
Elias
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ribeiro
Elias
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
0
1
Ribeiro
Elias
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (624)
44.7% (954)
-2.2%
Power Play
42.2% (128)
46.9% (196)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (49)
36.1% (180)
+0.6%
On power play, Elias has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (560).
Ribeiro shoots left. Elias is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Elias
Home
44.3% (395)
46.0% (692)
Away
40.2% (413)
42.2% (677)
By Period
Ribeiro
Elias
P1
36.5%
40.7%
P2
43.8%
46.8%
P3
45.6%
44.0%
OT
57.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
33.3%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
42.2%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 14:59 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 12:00 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |