Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 26 meetings). Ribeiro wins 39.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Kesler 55.9% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 52-28 in 80 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 96.8%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 97.3%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 97.3%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 97.2%
97.2%
2.8%
Ribeiro
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
52
(80 meetings)
28
52
Ribeiro
Kesler
Last 10: Ribeiro 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
11
8
Ribeiro
Kesler
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
23
Ribeiro
Kesler
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
14
21
Ribeiro
Kesler
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
56.4% (8,095)
-13.5%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
60.7% (1,437)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
50.5% (1,908)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Ribeiro shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Kesler
Home
44.1% (3,144)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Ribeiro
Kesler
P1
42.6%
56.5%
P2
44.3%
55.9%
P3
41.8%
56.1%
OT
49.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 12:13 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 1 | 10:18 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 3 | 11:53 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 1 | 02:57 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 26, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 06:56 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 2 | 12:59 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |