Mike Ribeiro vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mike Ribeiro holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 39.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.8%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 53.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Ribeiro
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ribeiro
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Ribeiro 2-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Ribeiro
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
0
Ribeiro
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Ribeiro
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (624)
37.1% (566)
+5.4%
Power Play
42.2% (128)
54.5% (22)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (49)
40.0% (5)
-3.3%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (560).
Ribeiro shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
44.3% (395)
37.5% (312)
Away
40.2% (413)
37.5% (293)
By Period
Ribeiro
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
36.5%
35.4%
P2
43.8%
37.8%
P3
45.6%
39.9%
OT
57.9%
28.6%
Final 5 min
33.3%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
42.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
37.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |