Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Ribeiro wins 39.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Gagner 46.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 76.6%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 83.7%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 64.2%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Ribeiro
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Ribeiro
Gagner
Last 10: Ribeiro 3-7 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
3
7
Ribeiro
Gagner
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
3
6
Ribeiro
Gagner
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
3
Ribeiro
Gagner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
45.4% (4,699)
-2.5%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
51.5% (928)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
35.0% (226)
-1.7%
On power play, Gagner has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Ribeiro shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Gagner
Home
44.1% (3,144)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Ribeiro
Gagner
P1
42.6%
44.6%
P2
44.3%
46.1%
P3
41.8%
47.3%
OT
49.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 16:08 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 2, 2012 | 1 | 01:31 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |