Scouting Report
Mike Ribeiro holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 37.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 44.0% vs Gionta 42.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 77.5%
Defensive zone
Gionta 77.1%
Neutral zone
Gionta 53.3%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Ribeiro
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Ribeiro
Gionta
Last 7: Ribeiro 3-4 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ribeiro
Gionta
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ribeiro
Gionta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
2
Ribeiro
Gionta
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (821)
40.5% (526)
+2.6%
Power Play
48.1% (77)
50.0% (2)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (5)
45.3% (53)
-45.3%
On penalty kill, Gionta has a +45.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Ribeiro is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Ribeiro shoots left. Gionta is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Gionta
Home
45.2% (504)
46.3% (300)
Away
40.9% (399)
35.2% (281)
By Period
Ribeiro
Gionta
P1
42.7%
41.8%
P2
45.3%
42.0%
P3
43.0%
38.7%
OT
20.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.3%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 03:16 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |