Scouting Report
Tanner Kero holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ribeiro wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Kero 46.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 72.1%
Defensive zone
Kero 76.4%
Neutral zone
Kero 65.1%
Result
Tanner Kero favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Ribeiro
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Ribeiro
Kero
Last 9: Ribeiro 5-4 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
3
1
Ribeiro
Kero
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kero
1
3
Ribeiro
Kero
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
0
Ribeiro
Kero
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
47.0% (668)
-4.1%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
42.9% (7)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
31.9% (47)
+1.4%
On even strength, Kero has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Ribeiro shoots left. Kero is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Kero
Home
44.1% (3,144)
49.1% (332)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
43.3% (390)
By Period
Ribeiro
Kero
P1
42.6%
47.6%
P2
44.3%
48.8%
P3
41.8%
40.9%
OT
49.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |