Scouting Report
Tanner Kero holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ribeiro wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 42.8% vs Kero 45.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 78.4%
Defensive zone
Kero 85.4%
Neutral zone
Kero 65.7%
Result
Tanner Kero favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Ribeiro
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Ribeiro
Kero
Last 9: Ribeiro 5-4 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
3
1
Ribeiro
Kero
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kero
1
3
Ribeiro
Kero
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
0
Ribeiro
Kero
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (375)
45.9% (434)
-4.8%
Power Play
41.8% (67)
50.0% (2)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
25.7% (35)
+24.3%
On penalty kill, Ribeiro has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Ribeiro is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Ribeiro shoots left. Kero is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Kero
Home
38.7% (230)
47.7% (214)
Away
43.9% (214)
41.6% (257)
By Period
Ribeiro
Kero
P1
41.6%
44.4%
P2
45.5%
48.5%
P3
36.9%
39.4%
Final 5 min
37.2%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
41.2%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |