Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Ribeiro wins 37.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 39.3% vs Zajac 51.4% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 90.9%
Defensive zone
Zajac 67.1%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 81.5%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Ribeiro
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Ribeiro
Zajac
Last 8: Ribeiro 2-6 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
Ribeiro
Zajac
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
5
Ribeiro
Zajac
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
0
Ribeiro
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
37.8% (650)
51.8% (986)
-14.0%
Power Play
38.9% (108)
61.1% (185)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
42.1% (216)
-42.1%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Ribeiro is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (277).
Ribeiro shoots left. Zajac is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Zajac
Home
37.9% (417)
54.0% (672)
Away
37.9% (343)
49.2% (715)
By Period
Ribeiro
Zajac
P1
38.3%
53.1%
P2
38.8%
52.2%
P3
36.4%
50.1%
OT
33.3%
38.5%
Final 5 min
33.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.9%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 05:00 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 13:48 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |