Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 39.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 45.6% vs Bozak 52.4% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 72.1%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 73.7%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 70.8%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Ribeiro
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Ribeiro
Bozak
Last 8: Ribeiro 2-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ribeiro
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Ribeiro
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Ribeiro
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (473)
52.8% (697)
-7.8%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
50.9% (171)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
53.3% (195)
-31.1%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Ribeiro shoots left. Bozak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Bozak
Home
48.9% (268)
52.1% (530)
Away
40.1% (237)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Ribeiro
Bozak
P1
42.5%
54.1%
P2
44.8%
50.6%
P3
46.5%
53.4%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
36.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
44.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 08:31 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 11:31 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |