Scouting Report
Mike Ribeiro holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Ribeiro wins 39.0% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.2% vs Toffoli 43.0% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 50.1%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 84.1%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 51.5%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Ribeiro
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (4,887)
41.2% (274)
+1.7%
Power Play
45.6% (930)
45.0% (40)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (147)
26.3% (19)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Ribeiro has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Ribeiro shoots left. Toffoli is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Toffoli
Home
44.1% (3,144)
44.5% (155)
Away
41.9% (2,837)
37.6% (178)
By Period
Ribeiro
Toffoli
P1
42.6%
47.4%
P2
44.3%
39.8%
P3
41.8%
32.9%
OT
49.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
33.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.8%