Scouting Report
Andrew Agozzino holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Agozzino on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Agozzino wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Agozzino 51.0% vs Richards 49.6% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Agozzino 58.7%
Defensive zone
Richards 68.1%
Neutral zone
Richards 55.3%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Agozzino
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Agozzino
Richards
Last 5: Agozzino 4-1 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Agozzino
1
0
Agozzino
Richards
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Agozzino
3
1
Agozzino
Richards
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Agozzino
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (44)
49.7% (352)
+2.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
42.9% (7)
+57.1%
On power play, Agozzino has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Agozzino is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Agozzino shoots left. Richards is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Agozzino
Richards
Home
61.5% (13)
49.4% (247)
Away
50.0% (32)
49.6% (228)
By Period
Agozzino
Richards
P1
30.0%
53.8%
P2
64.0%
47.7%
P3
50.0%
47.3%
Final 5 min
80.0%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Agozzino
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.3%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2016 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Andrew Agozzino |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Andrew Agozzino |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Andrew Agozzino |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Andrew Agozzino |