Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 50.6% vs Richards 53.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 57.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 89.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 72.4%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Smith
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Smith
Richards
Last 9: Smith 2-7 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
5
Smith
Richards
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Richards
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Smith
Richards
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (325)
53.2% (752)
-0.6%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
56.5% (85)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (54)
58.6% (70)
-23.4%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Smith is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Smith shoots right. Richards is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (317).
Home / Away
Smith
Richards
Home
50.3% (181)
57.0% (444)
Away
51.2% (213)
51.0% (463)
By Period
Smith
Richards
P1
54.2%
53.4%
P2
44.4%
55.8%
P3
54.2%
51.9%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Mike Richards |