Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 48.7% vs Richards 50.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 65.7%
Defensive zone
Backes 61.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 66.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Backes
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
15
(20 meetings)
5
15
Backes
Richards
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
8
Backes
Richards
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
5
Backes
Richards
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
2
Backes
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (967)
50.0% (776)
-0.9%
Power Play
48.1% (189)
50.0% (130)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (168)
54.5% (145)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Backes is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Backes shoots right. Richards is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Backes
Richards
Home
48.1% (690)
47.2% (549)
Away
49.2% (663)
54.1% (518)
By Period
Backes
Richards
P1
49.0%
52.5%
P2
50.2%
50.9%
P3
47.5%
47.5%
OT
33.3%
59.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | OT | 00:43 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 02:28 | Defensive | David Backes |