Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Roy wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.2% vs Richards 49.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 60.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 65.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 61.7%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Roy
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Roy
Richards
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
4
Roy
Richards
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Richards
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
4
Roy
Richards
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (506)
50.0% (370)
-4.7%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
50.0% (30)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (73)
39.0% (41)
-2.0%
On power play, Roy has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Roy is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Roy shoots left. Richards is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Roy
Richards
Home
44.9% (354)
52.3% (214)
Away
46.4% (293)
45.8% (227)
By Period
Roy
Richards
P1
47.0%
47.3%
P2
47.2%
53.2%
P3
42.5%
46.3%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
45.6%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2013 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Mike Richards |