Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.5% vs Richards 53.5% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 82.7%
Defensive zone
Richards 76.3%
Neutral zone
Richards 84.9%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 83.0%
17.0%
83.0%
Stepan
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stepan
Richards
Last 7: Stepan 5-2 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Richards
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Richards
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Richards
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (1,141)
53.2% (752)
-9.4%
Power Play
52.2% (253)
56.5% (85)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
58.6% (70)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Stepan is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,028).
Stepan shoots right. Richards is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (317).
Home / Away
Stepan
Richards
Home
47.8% (828)
57.0% (444)
Away
42.0% (684)
51.0% (463)
By Period
Stepan
Richards
P1
49.5%
53.4%
P2
42.0%
55.8%
P3
44.3%
51.9%
OT
41.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 7, 2013 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 7, 2013 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Mike Richards |