Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.0%). Look for Iginla on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 49.9% vs Richards 49.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Iginla leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Iginla 52.3%
Defensive zone
Richards 65.4%
Neutral zone
Richards 54.4%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Iginla
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Iginla
Richards
Last 10: Iginla 6-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
3
1
Iginla
Richards
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
2
Iginla
Richards
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Iginla
3
1
Iginla
Richards
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (183)
50.0% (370)
+0.8%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
50.0% (30)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
39.0% (41)
-1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Iginla is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Iginla shoots right. Richards is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Iginla
Richards
Home
51.9% (133)
52.3% (214)
Away
47.4% (114)
45.8% (227)
By Period
Iginla
Richards
P1
48.2%
47.3%
P2
49.3%
53.2%
P3
51.7%
46.3%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2013 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 11, 2013 | 3 | 10:03 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 11, 2013 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 1 | 14:51 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |