Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Franzen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Franzen wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Franzen 46.2% vs Richards 50.5% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Franzen 71.9%
Defensive zone
Richards 60.3%
Neutral zone
Franzen 57.1%
Result
Johan Franzen favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Franzen
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Franzen
Richards
Last 5: Franzen 2-3 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
2
1
Franzen
Richards
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Franzen
Richards
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Franzen
Richards
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Franzen
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (142)
50.0% (776)
-5.6%
Power Play
44.1% (34)
50.0% (130)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
54.5% (145)
-4.5%
On power play, Richards has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Franzen is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Franzen shoots left. Richards is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Home / Away
Franzen
Richards
Home
45.3% (95)
47.2% (549)
Away
42.9% (84)
54.1% (518)
By Period
Franzen
Richards
P1
44.1%
52.5%
P2
51.7%
50.9%
P3
36.5%
47.5%
OT
0.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Mike Richards |