Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.7%). Look for Brodziak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.3% vs Richards 48.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 72.2%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 69.2%
Neutral zone
Richards 53.4%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Brodziak
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Brodziak
Richards
Last 5: Brodziak 4-1 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
3
0
Brodziak
Richards
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
0
Brodziak
Richards
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Brodziak
Richards
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (538)
49.5% (529)
-0.2%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
44.4% (36)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (140)
39.3% (28)
+11.4%
On power play, Richards has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Brodziak is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Brodziak shoots right. Richards is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Richards
Home
50.0% (310)
47.9% (292)
Away
48.5% (377)
49.5% (301)
By Period
Brodziak
Richards
P1
49.5%
46.0%
P2
53.0%
52.0%
P3
44.7%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.2%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2014 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |