Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dauphin 47.4% vs Richards 49.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dauphin 62.1%
Defensive zone
Richards 69.4%
Neutral zone
Richards 50.8%
Result
Laurent Dauphin favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Dauphin
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dauphin
Richards
Last 5: Dauphin 2-3 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dauphin
Richards
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
2
Dauphin
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dauphin
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (65)
49.7% (352)
-6.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
42.9% (7)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
49.1% (116)
-9.1%
On power play, Dauphin has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Dauphin is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Dauphin shoots left. Richards is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Dauphin
Richards
Home
35.3% (17)
49.4% (247)
Away
46.4% (56)
49.6% (228)
By Period
Dauphin
Richards
P1
46.4%
53.8%
P2
50.0%
47.7%
P3
29.4%
47.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dauphin
60.0%▲
51.5%
43.8%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2016 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Laurent Dauphin |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 3 | 05:45 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 2 | 05:50 | Neutral | Laurent Dauphin |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Mike Richards |