Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 53.9%). Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hanzal wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 54.1% vs Richards 53.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 53.2%
Defensive zone
Richards 51.6%
Neutral zone
Richards 51.2%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Hanzal
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hanzal
Richards
Last 7: Hanzal 2-5 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
3
Hanzal
Richards
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
0
2
Hanzal
Richards
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (846)
53.2% (752)
+0.9%
Power Play
62.2% (180)
56.5% (85)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (73)
58.6% (70)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Hanzal is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Hanzal shoots left. Richards is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Richards
Home
56.3% (528)
57.0% (444)
Away
52.9% (571)
51.0% (463)
By Period
Hanzal
Richards
P1
58.2%
53.4%
P2
49.5%
55.8%
P3
56.3%
51.9%
OT
52.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
54.5%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2014 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 2, 2014 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |