Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.7%). Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 49.0% vs Richards 48.9% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 57.5%
Defensive zone
Chaput 60.8%
Neutral zone
Chaput 55.0%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Chaput
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Chaput
Richards
Last 5: Chaput 2-3 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Chaput
Richards
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
0
Chaput
Richards
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
2
Chaput
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (273)
49.5% (529)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
44.4% (36)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (19)
39.3% (28)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Chaput has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Chaput is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Chaput shoots left. Richards is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Chaput
Richards
Home
47.0% (132)
47.9% (292)
Away
50.0% (162)
49.5% (301)
By Period
Chaput
Richards
P1
41.8%
46.0%
P2
54.4%
52.0%
P3
47.5%
48.1%
Final 5 min
61.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
48.6%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2014 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |